Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualJacob Tsimerman 24.3%+6.8%Líder entre 52 opções
Previsores
394
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
15/09/23, 16:5831/07/26, 3:59
Tendências
0.3%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Jacob Tsimerman24%
Tendência de volume
$33.4k8 de jul.7d de dados14 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
Which company has best AI model end of July?
195 mil €Anthropic: 96%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?
40,8 mil €Anthropic: 80%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
39 mil €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best AI this week
25,9 mil €Claude: 98%
KALSHI
KALSHIBest AI in Jul 2026?
17,2 mil €ChatGPT: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Top Coding AI this week
12,5 mil €Gemini: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.News
Anthropic restores AI models Fable, Mythos after the U.S. lifts export controlsCoindesk
Anthropic to bring back Fable 5 as US lifts export controlsCointelegraphRegras
Every person who wins resolves to 25% (assuming it's 4 people who split it equally, in general we split it).
- It's very silly to bet people over 25%.
- In principle the Fields Medal could be awarded to fewer than four people but that's unlikely.
- I will resolve this as soon as I find out and not do any last-minute trading before resolving it.
- Update 2026-01-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Someone who declines a Fields Medal award will still count as a winner for resolution purposes (as occurred in 2006 with Grigori Perelman).