Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
JD Vance 46.6%Líder entre 15 opções
Previsores
46
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+11.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado16/02/24, 03:00 UTC12/11/28, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
0.4%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
This market resolves to the next Republican Party Nominee who is not Donald trump, in whatever year that happens.
- This means that if Trump steps aside or dies before the 2024 election, this market resolves to whoever replaces him.
- But if Trump is not replaced, then this market remains open until there is a nominee in a future election cycle who is not Donald Trump.
- If you have any suggestions for other potential candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond??
- A Manifold Markets cota JD Vance em 47% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond? é resolvido?
- Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond? deverá ser resolvido em 12 de novembro de 2028.
- Como Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves to the next Republican Party Nominee who is not Donald trump, in whatever year that happens.