Who will be the next person to successfully defend their title as classical World Chess Champion?
EsportesOne-OffXadrezEsportes eletrônicos9aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualGukesh Dommaraju 34.8%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado5/03/26, 21:43 UTC31/12/35, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Magnus Carlsen compete for the FIDE Classical World Chess Championship before 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill Tom Aspinall successfully defend the UFC heavyweight title before 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tom Aspinall successfully defend the UFC heavy weight title?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI successfully defend or prosecute someone in court before 2030
Manifold MarketsFIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
Kalshi2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
PolymarketRegras
Magnus successfully defended his title four times (in a rematch against Vishy, and then against Karjakin, Fabi, and Nepo) before stepping aside.
- Ding Liren won, and then lost to Gukesh.
- Now Gukesh has been playing poorly, and seems likely to lose even before his challenger has been selected.
- Who will be the next classical World Chess Champion to successfully defend their title, i.e. win as challenger and then win against the first person to challenge them?
- Resolves N/A if FIDE dissolves without an obvious successor organization, or if the world championship moves away from a defending-champion type model.