Who will be the next Democratic president of the United States?
Política
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Other 46.4%Líder entre 22 opções
Other 46.4%Previsores
53
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-14.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado8/04/23, 09:54 UTC2/01/50, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiRegras
Resolves to the next individual to at any point be both be simultaniously the president of the United States and affiliated with the Democratic party by the year 2050.
- Unnessisarly specific market rules:
- This market exludes any individuals who have already met this requirement.
- E.g. this market will not resolve on January 20th 2024 if Biden were to win re-election (and in the very unlikely event that Jimmy Carter were to somehow be nominated, re-elected, and survive long enough to be inagurated on January 20th this market would also not resolve).
- However it's technically possible for this market to resolve to other past presidents like Trump or George H. W. Bush if for some strange reason either of the two were to change their party affilation as neither have already met the above requirement (as would any individual elected as a Republican who were to change their party affiliation to Democrat midterm).
- It's also worth noting that this market does not have to resolve to an elected president of the United states (e.g. this market would resolve to the named outcome if she were to assume presidency before the next election).
