Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Magnus Carlsen 95.9%Líder entre 16 opções
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado2/01/25, 21:40 UTC2/01/27, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
0.5%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
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KalshiRegras
Chess ratings are updated monthly by FIDE (International Chess Federation).
- As of January 2025, the named outcome has dominated the top spot for over a decade, though Gukesh Dommaraju has shown remarkable progress recently, becoming World Chess Champion and making significant rating gains in 2024.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official FIDE rating list published for January 2027 (which reflects ratings as of December 31, 2026)
- In case of a tie for the highest rating, all tied players will resolve equally (i.e. 50/50 if the top two are tied)
- If FIDE changes its rating calculation system before the end of 2026, the market will still resolve based on the official FIDE ratings under the new system
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Magnus Carlsen em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Chess ratings are updated monthly by FIDE (International Chess Federation).