Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Magnus Carlsen 96%Líder entre 16 opções
Magnus Carlsen 96%Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado2/01/25, 21:40 UTC2/01/27, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Project Hail Mary finish the year as the highest rated 2026 cinematic release on Letterboxd?
Manifold MarketsPro Football: 2026-27 Highest-Rated Offense
PolymarketPro Football: 2026-27 Highest-Rated Defense
PolymarketWill a publicly available LLM/Agent beat a 2000 rated Elo chess player online rapid chess by March 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy 2030, will the majority of top10 rated chess players in the world be born during/after 2000?
Manifold MarketsWhich will be the highest rated of Sam Mendes' four Beatles biopic films?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Chess ratings are updated monthly by FIDE (International Chess Federation).
- As of January 2025, the named outcome has dominated the top spot for over a decade, though Gukesh Dommaraju has shown remarkable progress recently, becoming World Chess Champion and making significant rating gains in 2024.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official FIDE rating list published for January 2027 (which reflects ratings as of December 31, 2026)
- In case of a tie for the highest rating, all tied players will resolve equally (i.e. 50/50 if the top two are tied)
- If FIDE changes its rating calculation system before the end of 2026, the market will still resolve based on the official FIDE ratings under the new system
