Which will be the first year the USA has less than 15k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024)
Sociedade e cultura6aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNever, or only in 2033 or later 69.2%Líder entre 5 opções
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7
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
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Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado16/02/25, 18:52 UTC2/02/33, 07:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Each bucket is two chances to win! All years are inclusive
- Every calendar year Jan - Dec is a measurement point.
- If you think it won't happen, even including 2032, then bet the option for it not happening.
- I've chosen a restricted range so that skeptics have a shorter term option.