Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualManifest (June, Berkeley) 100%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 horas
Desatualizado1/05/26, 11:17 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
Each option resolves 50% if I attend or YES if I speak.
- Context dump:
- I am Eli Goldfine/@realTomBayes on X
- I already have Manifest tickets
- I am based in NYC
- Predict2026 has offered to cover my travel expenses if I agree to moderate a panel, others are in the works