Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Maryland's 2nd District?
0.7 pts (24h)PolíticaMonthlyPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20264d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualDemocratic Party — Johnny Olszewski 98.6%+0.7ptLíder entre 3 opções
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1
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
+1.6 pts
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Atualizado há 13 minutos
6/10/26, 05:55 UTC4/11/26, 12:00 UTC
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This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Maryland's 2nd congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
