Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?
One-OffCorporate Actions1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualEpoch Times 91.9%Líder entre 25 opções
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado2/03/24, 15:42 UTC1/01/28, 05:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
The resolution criteria are a bit fuzzy here.
- Really I'm looking to media companies that are dying, but many recent examples haven't died suddenly, but rather rapidly downsized or restructured such that 50-90% or more of their traditional operations disappear or radically change.
- That's approximately the scale of restructuring/downsizing that would trigger a "YES" resolution for me.
- Recent examples that would resolve yes include Vice, Buzzfeed News, Jezebel, and Sports Illustrated.
- If the outlet is revived after closing (as was the case for Jezebel) it will still resolve "YES."
- I might come add more details in the future.
Mercados abertos
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
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- € 2,3 mi
- Volume 24h
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KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
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POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
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POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota Epoch Times em 92% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028? é resolvido?
- Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The resolution criteria are a bit fuzzy here.