Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualIndia 75%Líder entre 10 opções
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22
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado15/03/24, 11:05 UTC31/12/50, 22:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will any UN country change its official name before the year 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWill any UN country change its capital before 2028?
KalshiWill ICE change its name in 2026?
KalshiRegras
resolves YES:
- if the international name in the english wikipedia article of the country remains changed for more than one week and this change is the result of a government/legislative decision of said country.
- if a successor country with a different name takes over all international contracts of its predecessor (example: Russia as successor of the Soviet Union)
- resolves NO:
- all non-resolved options by end of 2050.
- A country that ceases to exist is resolved as N/A
