Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualPhilippines 32%Líder entre 22 opções
Previsores
32
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-48.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado6/01/26, 22:00 UTC12/01/27, 22:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
Last year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2023
- This year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2024
- If two places tie they both resolve
Mercados abertos
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 232,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 227,3 mil
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 186,1 mil
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume total
- € 66,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 28,6 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Philippines em 32% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026? é resolvido?
- Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 12 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Last year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2023