Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAfter 2028 / not by close 43.8%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado6/07/26, 17:22 UTC1/01/29, 07:00 UTC
Tendências
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This market resolves to the calendar year in which the first living human extremely premature infant/fetus is publicly reported to have been placed in CHOP/Vitara Biomedical's EXTEND artificial womb / "biobag" system, or a substantially equivalent CHOP/Vitara-licensed system, as part of an authorized human clinical trial or approved clinical study.
- "Placed in the system" means the patient is physically supported in an artificial amniotic-fluid environment with gas exchange/nutrition support through an umbilical-cord/artificial-placenta circuit, rather than conventional ventilator-only NICU care.
- This is about partial ectogenesis / neonatal support for extremely premature humans, not full pregnancy from conception.
- Resolves based on credible public evidence, such as:
- a ClinicalTrials.gov listing showing the study has begun and a participant has been enrolled/treated,
- an FDA, CHOP, Vitara Biomedical, hospital, or peer-reviewed publication confirming first human use,
Mercados abertos
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Quarter Finals match
- Carlos Alcaraz59.5%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt40.5%
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- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
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POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.3pt100%
- 74,000+1.2pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 415,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 415,1 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,2 mi
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900+0.5pt100%
- 2,000+0.5pt100%
- 2,100+0.5pt100%
+8 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen??
- A Manifold Markets cota After 2028 / not by close em 44% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen? é resolvido?
- When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves to the calendar year in which the first living human extremely premature infant/fetus is publicly reported to have been placed in CHOP/Vitara Biomedical's EXTEND artificial womb / "biobag" system, or a substantially equivalent CHOP/Vitara-licensed system, as part of an authorized human clinical trial or approved clinical study.