When will I be able to purchase a self-driving Toyota (or Lexus) in the USA?
RegulamentaçãoOne-OffTecnologia14aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2031-2032 15.6%Líder entre 8 opções
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4
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multiple choice
Metodologia
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Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado2/06/26, 14:40 UTC1/01/41, 04:59 UTC
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Regras
Self-driving means SAE Level 3 at minimum.
- The car must be available in Massachusetts (where I live) and must have self-driving capabilities in Massachusetts.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date on which a personally owned vehicle (POV) manufactured by Toyota Motor Corporation under either the Toyota or Lexus brand, equipped with an SAE Level 3 (or higher) autonomous driving system, is first officially available for retail purchase or lease by individual consumers in the United States.
- To resolve the market, the following conditions must be met:
- SAE Level 3 definition: In accordance with SAE J3016 standards, Level 3 ("Conditional Driving Automation") means the vehicle can fully drive itself under specific conditions, allowing the driver to divert their attention (eyes-off, hands-off) to non-driving activities while the system is active, provided they remain ready to intervene when prompted.
