What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years?

One-OffUS Politics Crime & Justice1a

Manifold MarketsSem KYC

Previsão da comunidade atual

The ICE agent is fired 12.3%

Líder entre 14 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 15 dias

Desatualizado

8/01/26, 2:1710/01/28, 2:16

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

The ICE agent is fired12%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will use subjective judgment to determine whether a future ICE civilian killing qualifies as being "as a result of" the prior ICE shooting in Minneapolis.

Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer about "medical leave, paid vacation, and required to attend a two-week training program" will be interpreted broadly as the ICE agent receiving a slap on the wrist, rather than requiring exact adherence to the specific details (e.g., exactly two weeks of training).
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Border Patrol is not ICE - for this answer to resolve YES, the killing must be by an ICE agent specifically, not by Border Patrol or other federal agents.
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "ICE kills another civilian" to resolve YES, the creator will use subjective judgment to determine causation.
The creator considers that increased tensions between protestors/observers leading to more conflicts leading to someone getting shot would satisfy the "as a result of" requirement.

Mercados Relacionados

Who will be arrested before 2027?

2,5 mil €

Barack Obama: 6%

KALSHI

Who will be arrested before 2027?

809,6 €

John Brennan: 36%

POLYMARKET

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro be arrested in 2026?

182,3 €

Sim: 14%

FUTUUR

Will Hunter Biden be physically in prison / jail at the end of 2026?

175,3 €

Sim: 4.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell during his term?

115,9 €

Sim: 50%

FUTUUR

Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?

79,4 €

Sim: 11%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,104.85-2.99%

EthereumETH$1,736.27-3.62%

SolanaSOL$77.30-5.98%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0725-3.72%

XRPXRP$1.09-3.87%

BNBBNB$566.74-3.15%

Notícias Relacionadas

Chinese Exile Miles Guo Sentenced to 30 Years for $1B Crypto Fraud SchemeThe Defiant

Goliath Ventures CEO pleads guilty in $400 million crypto Ponzi caseCoindesk

South Korea moves to prosecute crypto whale for alleged pump-and-dump schemeThe Block

Goliath Ventures CEO Pleads Guilty to $250M Crypto Ponzi SchemeDecrypt

Former Goliath Ventures CEO pleads guilty in $400M crypto Ponzi caseCointelegraph

Goliath Ventures CEO pleads guilty for role in $400M crypto PonziCrypto News

Regras

Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer about "medical leave, paid vacation, and required to attend a two-week training program" will be interpreted broadly as the ICE agent receiving a slap on the wrist, rather than requiring exact adherence to the specific details (e.g., exactly two weeks of training).
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Border Patrol is not ICE - for this answer to resolve YES, the killing must be by an ICE agent specifically, not by Border Patrol or other federal agents.
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "ICE kills another civilian" to resolve YES, the creator will use subjective judgment to determine causation.
The creator considers that increased tensions between protestors/observers leading to more conflicts leading to someone getting shot would satisfy the "as a result of" requirement.

What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years?

One-OffUS Politics Crime & Justice1a

Manifold MarketsSem KYC

Previsão da comunidade atual

The ICE agent is fired 12.3%

Líder entre 14 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 15 dias

Desatualizado

8/01/26, 2:1710/01/28, 2:16

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

The ICE agent is fired12%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer about "medical leave, paid vacation, and required to attend a two-week training program" will be interpreted broadly as the ICE agent receiving a slap on the wrist, rather than requiring exact adherence to the specific details (e.g., exactly two weeks of training).
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Border Patrol is not ICE - for this answer to resolve YES, the killing must be by an ICE agent specifically, not by Border Patrol or other federal agents.
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "ICE kills another civilian" to resolve YES, the creator will use subjective judgment to determine causation.
The creator considers that increased tensions between protestors/observers leading to more conflicts leading to someone getting shot would satisfy the "as a result of" requirement.

Mercados Relacionados

Who will be arrested before 2027?

2,5 mil €

Barack Obama: 6%

KALSHI

Who will be arrested before 2027?

809,6 €

John Brennan: 36%

POLYMARKET

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro be arrested in 2026?

182,3 €

Sim: 14%

FUTUUR

Will Hunter Biden be physically in prison / jail at the end of 2026?

175,3 €

Sim: 4.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell during his term?

115,9 €

Sim: 50%

FUTUUR

Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?

79,4 €

Sim: 11%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,104.85-2.99%

EthereumETH$1,736.27-3.62%

SolanaSOL$77.30-5.98%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0725-3.72%

XRPXRP$1.09-3.87%

BNBBNB$566.74-3.15%

Notícias Relacionadas

Chinese Exile Miles Guo Sentenced to 30 Years for $1B Crypto Fraud SchemeThe Defiant

Goliath Ventures CEO pleads guilty in $400 million crypto Ponzi caseCoindesk

South Korea moves to prosecute crypto whale for alleged pump-and-dump schemeThe Block

Goliath Ventures CEO Pleads Guilty to $250M Crypto Ponzi SchemeDecrypt

Former Goliath Ventures CEO pleads guilty in $400M crypto Ponzi caseCointelegraph

Goliath Ventures CEO pleads guilty for role in $400M crypto PonziCrypto News

Regras

Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer about "medical leave, paid vacation, and required to attend a two-week training program" will be interpreted broadly as the ICE agent receiving a slap on the wrist, rather than requiring exact adherence to the specific details (e.g., exactly two weeks of training).
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Border Patrol is not ICE - for this answer to resolve YES, the killing must be by an ICE agent specifically, not by Border Patrol or other federal agents.
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "ICE kills another civilian" to resolve YES, the creator will use subjective judgment to determine causation.
The creator considers that increased tensions between protestors/observers leading to more conflicts leading to someone getting shot would satisfy the "as a result of" requirement.