What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years?
One-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualThe ICE agent is charged by Minnesota authorities 71.5%Líder entre 14 opções
Previsores
76
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado8/01/26, 02:17 UTC10/01/28, 02:16 UTC
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Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will use subjective judgment to determine whether a future ICE civilian killing qualifies as being "as a result of" the prior ICE shooting in Minneapolis.
- Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer about "medical leave, paid vacation, and required to attend a two-week training program" will be interpreted broadly as the ICE agent receiving a slap on the wrist, rather than requiring exact adherence to the specific details (e.g., exactly two weeks of training).
- Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Border Patrol is not ICE - for this answer to resolve YES, the killing must be by an ICE agent specifically, not by Border Patrol or other federal agents.
- Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "the named outcome" to resolve YES, the creator will use subjective judgment to determine causation.
- The creator considers that increased tensions between protestors/observers leading to more conflicts leading to someone getting shot would satisfy the "as a result of" requirement.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years??
- A Manifold Markets cota The ICE agent is charged by Minnesota authorities em 72% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years? é resolvido?
- What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years? deverá ser resolvido em 10 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will use subjective judgment to determine whether a future ICE civilian killing qualifies as being "as a result of" the prior ICE shooting in Minneapolis.