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Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Announce a merger of SpaceX and Tesla 80%Líder entre 11 opções
Announce a merger of SpaceX and Tesla 80%Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+30.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado20/10/26, 13:08 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
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Each answer resolves independently: YES if the event happens between 1 January 2027, 00:00 UTC and 1 January 2028, 00:00 UTC; NO otherwise.
- Events before 2027 do not count.
- Each answer resolves on whether the event happens during 2027, not whether it happens for the first time.
- Actions by companies Musk leads or controls count as his.
- Sources: official company statements and regulatory filings (SpaceX, Tesla, xAI, SEC, FEC), then reputable outlets (Reuters, Bloomberg, AP, WSJ; SpaceNews, NASASpaceFlight and Spaceflight Now for spaceflight answers), and Musk's own X posts where applicable.
- In case of ambiguity, I'll open a discussion before resolving.
