Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
15% to 25% 26.9%Líder entre 5 opções
15% to 25% 26.9%Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado8/01/24, 18:59 UTC1/01/30, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Sodium-ion batteries appear to be in the process of commercialization, with multiple companies claiming to mass-produce them today.
- Meanwhile academics claim to have mitigated all their downsides except the lower energy density, and the cost is expected to be lower than lithium-ion.
- Not requiring lithium or cobalt in manufacturing also mitigates some geopolitical risks due to the uneven distribution of these minerals.
- "Market share" is defined as "% of new EVs sold globally powered by sodium-ion batteries".
- If multiple types of batteries are used, the EV counts as powered by sodium-ion if this battery type accounts for at least 50% of the total capacity.
- I will not bet on this market.
