Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2029 24.2%-0.4ptLíder entre 10 opções
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-0.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
17/11/23, 22:04 UTC1/01/34, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
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PolymarketUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
PolymarketRegras
Resolves Yes to the first calendar year where Tadej Pogacar does not start the first stage (or prologue) of the Tour de France.
- If he appears on the startlist but does not actually start the stage, that is probably a DNS.
- If he appears on the startlist, starts the first stage, and quits before it is over, that is probably NOT a DNS.
- If the Tour de France is not held in any season, I am going to N/A this question because that is simply not what I am interested in.
- I don't want anyone to need to calculate "The TDF stops existing" into their valuations.
- So just assume the TDF happens every year.
Mercados abertos
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Volume total
- € 12,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 11,2 mi
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 24 mi
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,9 mi
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 24,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,9 mi
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Volume total
- € 2,1 mi
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
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- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will be the first year Tadej Pogacar does NOT start the Tour de France??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2029 em 24% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will be the first year Tadej Pogacar does NOT start the Tour de France? é resolvido?
- What will be the first year Tadej Pogacar does NOT start the Tour de France? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2034.
- Como What will be the first year Tadej Pogacar does NOT start the Tour de France? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves Yes to the first calendar year where Tadej Pogacar does not start the first stage (or prologue) of the Tour de France.