Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 70.8%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado25/11/24, 19:03 UTC31/12/99, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
Resolves as a percentage according to the most official figure I can find.
- For reference, this would be 31% as of 2024.
- Resolves NA if human civilization ends before then.
Mercados abertos
ReligionKALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Volume total
- € 10,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 9,5 mil
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume total
- € 56,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 9,2 mil
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Pietro Parolin-0.8pt4%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 118 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,3
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No-0.5pt90%
- Yes+0.5pt10%
- Volume total
- € 797,6
- Volume 24h
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume total
- € 674,1
- Volume 24h
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Volume total
- € 3,1
- Volume 24h
- —
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 71% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100? é resolvido?
- What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2099.
- Como What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves as a percentage according to the most official figure I can find.