Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Other 53.6%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
1
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado3/08/25, 02:09 UTC2/01/27, 03:09 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
PolymarketOscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
PolymarketOscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner
PolymarketWill "Critterz" (OpenAI's feature film) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of at least 60%?
Manifold MarketsOscar nominees: Best International Feature Film
KalshiOscar nominees: Best Animated Feature Film
KalshiRegras
Context: After Eddington, Ari Aster has mentioned several possible directions for his next feature: a sequel to Eddington, a return to horror, and a sci-fi adaptation.
- While none have been officially confirmed, this market predicts the genre of the next feature-length film Aster is publicly announced to direct.
- Resolves to the first official announcement (via trade outlets like Variety, Deadline, or a verified statement/interview) identifying a specific film that he is directing.
- Writing or producing credits do not count, nor do television or short film projects.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 342,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91,2 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 90,8 mil
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 264,6 mil
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 84,3 mil
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What genre will Ari Aster’s next announced feature film be??
- A Manifold Markets cota Other em 54% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What genre will Ari Aster’s next announced feature film be? é resolvido?
- What genre will Ari Aster’s next announced feature film be? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como What genre will Ari Aster’s next announced feature film be? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Context: After Eddington, Ari Aster has mentioned several possible directions for his next feature: a sequel to Eddington, a return to horror, and a sci-fi adaptation.