What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Baiji (Lipotes Vexillifer) in Its Next Red List Assessment?
ChinaOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct) 60.7%Líder entre 14 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+54.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado11/12/24, 16:3731/08/27, 21:59
Tendências
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
Regras
The Baiji, a species of freshwater dolphin native to the Yantze River system in China, is currently listed as the named outcome (possibly extinct) on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species.
- It was last assessed in August 2017.
- This market will resolve based on the conservation status assigned to the Baiji by the IUCN in its next Red List assessment.
- The target resolution date is August 2027 (10 years after the last assessment).
- However, resolution might occur earlier or later, depending on when the next assessment takes place.
- The possible outcomes align with the official IUCN Red List categories: the named outcome, the named outcome, Vulnerable, Endangered, the named outcome, the named outcome, Extinct, the named outcome, the named outcome.
