Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore Q3 2027 33.8%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado5/08/26, 18:26 UTC31/12/26, 19:25 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This market is of type DATE and will resolve to the date on which Donald Trump next engages in sexual intercourse (vaginal, anal, or oral sex) with another person.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will rely on credible mainstream media reporting, court depositions/filings, official memoirs, or public statements by either Trump or the other involved party that are widely accepted as factual by reputable news organizations.
- Uncorroborated tabloid rumors will not be sufficient.
- Determination of Date: The market will resolve to the actual date the sexual act occurred, rather than the date it was publicly reported.
- If only a range of dates is confirmed, the midpoint of that range will be used.
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 693 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,1 mi
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 266,9 mil
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 248,7 mil
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Trump gets laid next by?
- A Manifold Markets cota Before Q3 2027 em 34% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Trump gets laid next by é resolvido?
- Trump gets laid next by deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Trump gets laid next by é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria