Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualx ≥ 250 100%Líder entre 19 opções
Previsores
54
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado28/12/25, 13:01 UTC31/01/27, 12:42 UTC
Tendências
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
KalshiWill AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketWill the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
FutuurNumber of measles deaths reported by CDC in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
How many cases of measles will be reported in the US during 2026?
- If the number of cases x is equal to or greater than the number listed in an option as reported by the Johns Hopkins Measles Tracker, it will resolve to YES.
- Otherwise, the option will resolve to NO.
- The market will resolve at the end of January 2027 to allow for lag in reporting.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? · ↑3.5k 100%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Measles cases in 2026? · Above 3000 99%
- Também disponível em Futuur — Measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · 3,000 or more 97%
Mercados abertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 30,4 mil
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- € 652,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,5 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,9 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 865,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,7 mil
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume total
- € 915,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,4 mil
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- € 84 mil
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota x ≥ 250 em 100% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026 é resolvido?
- Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: How many cases of measles will be reported in the US during 2026?
- Onde mais Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026 está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket, Kalshi, Futuur.