Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7?
EntretenimentoOne-Off23dManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 99.3%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado12/01/26, 00:57 UTC2/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
Polymarket"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
Polymarket"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?
Manifold MarketsWill The Odyssey have a higher domestic PTA than Spider-Man on every remaining Tuesday in September?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
Manifold MarketsHighest box office-grossing movie in 2026 (US/Canada Domestic)
FutuurRegras
This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
- Do not bet on this market if that is going to bother you.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 342,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91,2 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 90,8 mil
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 264,6 mil
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 84,3 mil
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7? é resolvido?
- Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here: