Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 66.8%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado6/01/26, 00:52 UTC1/01/27, 07:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
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KalshiRegras
Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.
- Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
- Original prediction: "Susie Wiles departs as White House chief of staff" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
- If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Susie Wiles departs as White House chief of staff in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 67% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Susie Wiles departs as White House chief of staff in 2026? é resolvido?
- Susie Wiles departs as White House chief of staff in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Susie Wiles departs as White House chief of staff in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.