Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 83.2%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado29/07/26, 19:07 UTC22/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Stephen Curry is officially traded from the Golden State Warriors to another NBA franchise before the tip-off of the first official game of the 2026–27 NBA regular season (scheduled to begin on October 20, 2026).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Rules & Edge Cases:
- Source of Truth: The trade must be officially confirmed by the NBA, announced by the franchises involved, or reported by highly reliable sports news outlets (such as ESPN or NBA.com) and leading league insiders (such as Shams Charania) prior to the start of the season's first game.
- Timing: The trade transaction must be officially completed and registered with the NBA office before the scheduled tip-off of the opening game of the regular season.
Mercados abertos
Corporate Actions
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 48,8 mil
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,1 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 mais resultados
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- IPOs before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Steph Curry traded before new season starts??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 83% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Steph Curry traded before new season starts? é resolvido?
- Steph Curry traded before new season starts? deverá ser resolvido em 22 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Steph Curry traded before new season starts? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria