SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.
Política dos EUAIAOne-Off
Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No (70%)
Resolvido: 11 de out. de 2026, 21:36
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
No
A 7 dias
20%
A 24 horas
62%
ConsensoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 14 de out. de 2026, 00:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes31.4%
No68.6%
Ganhou
Perdeu
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by which date?
PolymarketIn the US, will there be binding legislation or an executive order explicitly addressing AI risks by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsComprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?
Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic, OpenAI and DeepMind voluntarily act in accordance with Trump’s executive order 14409 for all of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
FutuurRegras
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
- [image] Update 2026-10-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is resolving the market to NO.