Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualPat Scott @Stralor 33.4%Líder entre 12 opções
Previsores
64
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+1.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado3/08/26, 16:44 UTC30/12/27, 16:14 UTC
Tendências
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
My company is hiring.
- We've mostly given up on traditional application pipelines, there's too much AI spam and lying on resumes.
- Robin Hanson says that hiring is the killer app of prediction markets, so let's try it?
- I work for a growth-stage fintech company innovating new ways to prevent fraud.
- We're based in New York, though most of our employees are fully remote.
- Positions are flexible; we're looking to hire people with a technical bent who are generally competent and excited to solve problems.
Mercados abertos
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 351,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 351,4 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 mais resultados
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,7 mil
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 mais resultados
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]?
- A Manifold Markets cota Pat Scott @Stralor em 33% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Should we hire you? [Job-finding market] é resolvido?
- Should we hire you? [Job-finding market] deverá ser resolvido em 30 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Should we hire you? [Job-finding market] é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: My company is hiring.