Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualCrypto ETFs singled out with new restrictions 49.8%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-0.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado2/09/26, 18:26 UTC2/09/27, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolve at the time of publication on sec.gov if earlier than the deadline (September 1st, 2027); "proposed rule" means a Commission release with that action line, not staff action.
- Fine prints:
- the named outcome YES if a proposed rule lowers the existing leverage cap under Rule 18f-4, restricts or bans single-stock strategies, or imposes new investor-eligibility requirements specific to them.
- Current 18f-4 limits staying in place resolves NO.
- the named outcome YES if a proposed rule would lengthen the current 60/75-day automatic approval window for any ETFs, or let the SEC pause a launch on its own initiative.
- the named outcome YES if a proposed rule, or a Commission statement/interpretive release, specifically restricts or imposes extra conditions on ETFs whose principal strategy is holding crypto assets.
Mercados abertos
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 751,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 747,1 mil
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 8?
- 68,000100%
- 70,000100%
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 971,5 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 923,6 mil
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- ↑ 2,500+18.4pt100%
- ↑ 2,250+42.5pt100%
- ↑ 2,000+13.4pt100%
+27 mais resultados
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- BTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de The SEC decision on novel ETFs?
- A Manifold Markets cota Crypto ETFs singled out with new restrictions em 50% em 7 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando The SEC decision on novel ETFs é resolvido?
- The SEC decision on novel ETFs deverá ser resolvido em 2 de setembro de 2027.
- Como The SEC decision on novel ETFs é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolve at the time of publication on sec.gov if earlier than the deadline (September 1st, 2027); "proposed rule" means a Commission release with that action line, not staff action.