Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?
RegulamentaçãoOne-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleição8aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 70%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 horas
Desatualizado22/12/25, 19:01 UTC31/12/34, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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PredictItRegras
Resolution criteria
- Prediction markets currently sit in a legal grey zone in India, with no official rulebook or dedicated regulator.
- This market resolves YES if prediction markets (also called opinion trading platforms or event contracts) are explicitly legalized through federal legislation or a binding Supreme Court ruling by December 31, 2034.
- Legalization requires formal regulatory approval and licensing framework, not merely continued operation in a grey area.
- Resolution sources: Official Gazette of India (for legislation), Supreme Court of India judgments, SEBI or relevant regulatory body official statements.
- In India, the legality of prediction markets hinges on whether they are classified as games of skill or chance, as wagering agreements are generally void under the Indian Contract Act.
