Post US Midterms 2026 Iran Conflict props
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Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualIf the US or Israel strike Iran Nov 4-30, will WTI oil futures be higher 10 days later? 58.4%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
1
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+3.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
24/10/26, 18:35 UTC15/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option will resolve individually to YES, NO, or N/A based on whether its specific condition is met between November 4, 2026, and the date specified in the option.
- Options containing conditional clauses ("If...") resolve N/A if their qualifying precondition does not occur during the specified evaluation window.
- "If the US or Israel strike Iran Nov 4-30, will WTI oil futures be higher 10 days later?":
- Precondition: Confirmed military kinetic strike conducted by the US military or Israeli Defense Forces against a target located within Iranian sovereign territory between November 4, 2026, 00:00 UTC and November 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, reported by credible international news agencies (e.g., Reuters, AP).
