Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ?
RegulamentaçãoOne-OffIATecnologiaCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 89.7%
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6
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado27/03/26, 15:48 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if OpenAI files for bankruptcy or enters formal insolvency proceedings before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official court filings, SEC documents, or verified announcements from OpenAI's leadership.
- The market resolves NO if OpenAI remains solvent and operational through year-end 2026.
- OpenAI is projected to make a $14 billion loss in 2026, primarily driven by infrastructure expansion, model training, research hiring, and compute costs.
- While OpenAI reportedly generates up to $13 billion in revenue annually from ChatGPT and LLM access fees, the firm spends up to $1.4 billion on computing.
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
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- € 12,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 182,3 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
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KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
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- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
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KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
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- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 90% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ? é resolvido?
- Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Open ia fait faillite avant la fin de l’année ? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria