Quais são as probabilidades atuais de No reconciliation bill passes in 2026??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 86.5% em 25 de outubro de 2026.

Quando No reconciliation bill passes in 2026? é resolvido?

No reconciliation bill passes in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Sim 86.5%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 hora

Atrasado

6/01/26, 00:52 UTC1/01/27, 07:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.

Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
Original prediction: "No reconciliation bill passes" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.