Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNone of these listed before Dec 31st 2026 88.5%+10.2ptLíder entre 8 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+10.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
8/12/25, 16:268/12/26, 16:21
Tendências
Regras
Which of these companies will be the first to announce a formal event constituting default (a formal restructuring process under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code (or equivalent bankruptcy/restructuring filing in its primary jurisdiction) OR has entered technical default on its debt obligations (missed interest/principal payment, covenant breach triggering acceleration, or cross-default) as publicly announced by the company or its creditors
Mercados abertos
Corporate Actions
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,96%
- October 31,+2.0pt91%
- October 15,+8.0pt66%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 44,2 mil
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No-0.5pt93%
- Yes+0.5pt7%
- Volume total
- € 2,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 11,3 mil
POLYMARKETOura IPO Closing Market Cap
- $20B++17.0pt38.3%
- $17.5B–$20B+2.5pt25.2%
- $15B–$17.5B-10.5pt23.4%
+5 mais resultados
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 560+1.0pt93%
- Above 58088%
- Above 600-1.0pt78%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 91,4 mil
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic-1.1pt59%
- SpaceX-0.5pt39%
- OpenAI+0.8pt2%
+9 mais resultados
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Oura officially announce an IPO?
- Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
- Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next mining company to announce default?
- A Manifold Markets cota None of these listed before Dec 31st 2026 em 89% em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next mining company to announce default é resolvido?
- Next mining company to announce default deverá ser resolvido em 8 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Next mining company to announce default é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Which of these companies will be the first to announce a formal event constituting default (a formal restructuring process under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code (or equivalent bankruptcy/restructuring filing in its primary jurisdiction) OR has entered technical default on its debt obligations (missed interest/principal payment, covenant breach triggering acceleration, or cross-default) as publicly announced by the company or its creditors