Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualJD Vance (@jd-vance-1.bsky.social) 76.7%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado31/12/25, 08:53 UTC1/01/27, 07:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criterion
- This market will resolve to the Bluesky account that is blocked by more Bluesky users than any other Bluesky account at the close date.
- Resolution source
- The resolution of this market will be informed by the data available on clearsky.app.
- Should the resolution source become inactive, it may be substituted with another credible source.
- This market is set to close at 07:00:00 UTC on 1 January 2027.
Mercados abertos
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- $10M+1.4pt96%
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- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
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- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
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- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota JD Vance (@jd-vance-1.bsky.social) em 77% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2026 é resolvido?
- Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Most blocked account on Bluesky at the end of 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criterion