Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 80%
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado24/08/26, 02:43 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, on or before December 31, 2028, a peer-reviewed scientific paper (or a pre-print on arXiv that is subsequently peer-reviewed) is published confirming the large-scale bulk flow direction and/or speed reported by Migkas et al.
- (2021) using an independent observational method.
- To qualify as confirmation, the paper must:
- Utilize an independent method that does not rely on the same galaxy cluster scaling relations analyzed in Migkas et al.
- (2021) (e.g., using the kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) effect, peculiar velocity reconstructions, or Type Ia supernovae).
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Migkas et al. (2021) cluster bulk flow direction/speed be confirmed by an independent method (e.g., kSZ) by EOY 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Migkas et al. (2021) cluster bulk flow direction/speed be confirmed by an independent method (e.g., kSZ) by EOY 2028? é resolvido?
- Migkas et al. (2021) cluster bulk flow direction/speed be confirmed by an independent method (e.g., kSZ) by EOY 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Migkas et al. (2021) cluster bulk flow direction/speed be confirmed by an independent method (e.g., kSZ) by EOY 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria