Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: ChatGPT: $ 4,273 (52%)
Resolvido: 1 de ago. de 2026, 06:58
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Previsão da comunidade atualChatGPT: $ 4,273 52%+48.0ptLíder entre 3 opções
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 dias
Desatualizado27/06/26, 18:3628/07/26, 23:59
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
DeepSeek: $ 4,72216.8%
Claude: $ 4,36831.2%
ChatGPT: $ 4,27352%
52%
31.2%
16.8%
Regras
I will use this data set:
- Gold Aug 26 (GC=F) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance
- I have asked three LLM models to calculate the 50/50 maximum gold price estimate based on historic data.
- I asked for a statistical method and a python script.
- I could not immediately verify the methods and code, because this is a learning exercise for myself.
- But these are the three outputs I got:
Mercados abertos
Commodities
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
- ↓ $80+27.4pt100%
- ↓ $85+9.3pt100%
- ↓ $75+27.9pt100%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 333,4 mil
KALSHIBrent crude oil price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $86.99+3.0pt99%
- Above $82.99+1.0pt99%
- Above $80.99+1.0pt99%
+17 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+2.0pt34.5%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+7.0pt26.6%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt12.4%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIGold price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $4555.99+66.0pt99%
- Above $4495.99+33.0pt99%
- Above $3955.9999%
+37 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 145,1 mil
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.08099%
- Above 3.80099%
- Above 3.82099%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 239,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 87,5 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?
- ↑ $4,600+48.4pt100%
- ↑ $4,500+64.0pt100%
- ↑ $4,400+15.4pt100%
+11 mais resultados
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Gas prices in the US in Aug 2026
- EV commodity prices on Aug 21, 2026
- Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 24, 2026?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Silver price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Copper price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Natural gas price on August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Maximum gold price in July 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota ChatGPT: $ 4,273 em 52% em 1 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Maximum gold price in July 2026? é resolvido?
- Maximum gold price in July 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 28 de julho de 2026.
- Como Maximum gold price in July 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I will use this data set: