Marco Rubio becomes president of Cuba before 2029
PolíticaOne-OffXadrezPolítica dos EUAEsportesAmérica Latina2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 09:18 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 99.4%
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14
Tipo de pergunta
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Metodologia
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Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado1/02/26, 17:59 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Marco Rubio becomes president of Cuba before 2029.
- Resolution will be determined by official Cuban government sources and international news reporting confirming Rubio's assumption of the presidency.
- The market resolves NO if this does not occur by a specified date, or if it becomes clear the event will not happen.
- In January 2026, President Trump responded to a social media post suggesting Secretary of State Marco Rubio could become president of Cuba, writing that it "sounds good to me!" Rubio, the son of Cuban emigrants born in Miami and the current Secretary of State of the United States, is one of the most hostile figures toward the regime in Havana and has systematically linked the fate of Cuba with that of Venezuela.
- In his 2012 memoir, Rubio recalled: "I boasted I would someday lead an army of exiles to overthrow Fidel Castro and become president of a free Cuba."
