Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Labour rules out Te Pati Maori for 2026 nz election??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 90.1% em 31 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Labour rules out Te Pati Maori for 2026 nz election? é resolvido?

Labour rules out Te Pati Maori for 2026 nz election? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 90.1%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 22 horas

Desatualizado

23/12/25, 18:57 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Labour formally rules out Te Pāti Māori as a coalition partner before the 2026 election (by December 19, 2026).
It resolves NO if Labour does not make such a formal ruling, or if they explicitly keep the option open.
Resolution will be based on official statements from Labour leadership or party policy documents.
Te Pāti Māori won six electorate seats and 3.08% of the popular vote in the 2023 general election.
Labour has expressed no concern if Te Pāti Māori is destroyed and out of Parliament after the 2026 election, with the party campaigning "vigorously" to win back the Māori seats.