Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Kratom federally banned in US by 2030??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 78.5% em 31 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Kratom federally banned in US by 2030? é resolvido?

Kratom federally banned in US by 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Sim 78.5%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 14 horas

Desatualizado

20/11/25, 18:00 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Resolution criteria

Kratom remains legal at the federal level in the United States, though this market resolves YES if kratom (Mitragyna speciosa) or its primary active compounds (mitragynine and 7-hydroxymitragynine) are placed into Schedule I, II, III, IV, or V of the Controlled Substances Act by December 31, 2029.
Resolution will be determined by official DEA scheduling action published in the Federal Register.
The market resolves NO if kratom remains unscheduled at the federal level through the end of 2029.
The DEA attempted to temporarily reclassify kratom as a Schedule I controlled substance in 2016 but faced unprecedented public pushback, ultimately withdrawing the proposal.
In July 2025, the FDA announced that, because of public health concerns, they were recommending to the US Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) that the 7-OH compound—not the kratom plant—should be scheduled as a Schedule I controlled substance.