Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 96%
Previsores
26
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 minutos
4/08/23, 02:53 UTC1/01/31, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If the Room-Temperature Superconductor is not real, will calculating a 2048-bit RSA Key Cost <$1000 in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the first room temperature superconductor be created by humans or AI?
Manifold MarketsWill we have a superconductor at room-temperature and pressure by end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 19?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves once the first room temperature superconductor is confirmed to be created, if it turns out that rationalussy magic is what is necessary to make it work.