Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
WeatherDaily6a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 70.2%
Previsores
27
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado7/05/24, 04:55 UTC1/01/33, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Walking on Mars as defined by societal consensus
- Sueprconductor as defined by at the same conditions as the LK-99 market, but for any material. and/or general scientific community consensus
- Market open until one happens
Mercados abertos
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 586,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 568,4 mil
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+55.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-47.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-9.0pt1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+47.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-34.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-6.0pt1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes86%
- No14%
- Volume total
- € 108,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 108,2 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99? é resolvido?
- Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2033.
- Como Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Walking on Mars as defined by societal consensus