Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 91.5%
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado31/07/26, 02:18 UTC1/02/27, 03:17 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, by January 31, 2027 it is officially confirmed by Senator Mitch McConnell’s office, his family, his medical team, or a consensus of reputable major news organizations (such as the Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, or CNN) that McConnell is medically brain-dead or on life support.
- This market will resolve to NO if:
- McConnell delivers a public, verbal address or appears in a live, unedited video proving conscious cognitive function, OR
- No official or credible confirmation of brain death or life support is made public by January 31, 2027, OR
- He is officially announced to have passed away without a preceding, publicly confirmed state of being brain-dead or kept on life support.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Is Mitch McConnell on life support and/or brain dead??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 92% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Is Mitch McConnell on life support and/or brain dead? é resolvido?
- Is Mitch McConnell on life support and/or brain dead? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como Is Mitch McConnell on life support and/or brain dead? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria