Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 99%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado29/03/26, 21:11 UTC30/12/26, 20:10 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?
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KalshiRegras
Resolves Yes if before end of 2026 it is revealed James fishback did the campaign to see how stupid /anti semitic/racist conservatives are.
- If he announced it was a stunt to see which conservatives would support him.
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-5.0pt70.3%
- Yes+5.0pt29.7%
- Volume total
- € 14,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 759 mil
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt48.1%
- D-House, R-Senate34.6%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.4%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff-0.3pt16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt13%
+48 mais resultados
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- No change60.8%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt36.3%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt64%
- October 31+2.0pt37%
- September 3017%
+17 mais resultados
KALSHIBlanchet vs Harris
- Ugo Blanchet55.5%
- Billy Harris44.5%
- Volume total
- € 378,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 263,3 mil
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Is James fishback a stunt??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 99% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Is James fishback a stunt? é resolvido?
- Is James fishback a stunt? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Is James fishback a stunt? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves Yes if before end of 2026 it is revealed James fishback did the campaign to see how stupid /anti semitic/racist conservatives are.