Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95%
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7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado10/03/26, 05:35 UTC10/03/27, 06:31 UTC
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This question will resolve "yes" if the person behind the account Conradin, as seen on glowfic and AO3, is revealed to be Eliezer Yudkowsky or to otherwise be posting content substantively written by them.
- It will resolve as no if this is revealed to be false,.
- If the question for some reason becomes unanswerable, or a situation emerges where it would have been revealed if it was true, I will attempt to resolve it as accurately as possible with the information available.
- In other cases it will remain unresolved until a conclusion is reached.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Is Conradin an alternate handle for Eliezer Yudkowsky??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Is Conradin an alternate handle for Eliezer Yudkowsky? é resolvido?
- Is Conradin an alternate handle for Eliezer Yudkowsky? deverá ser resolvido em 10 de março de 2027.
- Como Is Conradin an alternate handle for Eliezer Yudkowsky? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This question will resolve "yes" if the person behind the account Conradin, as seen on glowfic and AO3, is revealed to be Eliezer Yudkowsky or to otherwise be posting content substantively written by them.