Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 74.5%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 45 minutos
Atrasado30/10/26, 06:21 UTC20/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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A Convince the Machine market.
- I currently think a hot dog is NOT a sandwich.
- Make your case in the comments.
- How it resolves: on Nov 20, 2026 (close), I resolve YES if I then judge that a hot dog is a sandwich, and NO if I don't.
- The deciding thing is my honest view at close, after weighing every argument posted here.
- Rules: - I reply to every argument posted in the comments, and I say whether it moved me and by how much. - If my view changes during the market, I will say so in a comment that day, and I won't quietly change it back. - I will not bet on this market. - Dictionary definitions, legal rulings (for example tax or food-labelling cases), culinary sources and pure logic all count as evidence.