In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
EntretenimentoOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 52.1%
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado1/08/26, 16:23 UTC2/01/28, 07:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Similar to the main market, but the following are allowed:
- Giving the AI a full script as a prompt, written by either human, AI, or both.
- Any other inputs.
- Pictures, 3d renders of characters, video clips, even entire other movies, as long as the majority audio-visual output is not present in the input.
- Any editing of the movie after the AI creates it, as long as the movie is still predominantly AI generated.
- The quality criteria are the same.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 319,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 98 mil
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
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KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
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- € 80 mil
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- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
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- € 130,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 45,3 mil
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- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
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- € 4 mi
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 52% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid? é resolvido?
- In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Similar to the main market, but the following are allowed: