If elected, will President Trump succeed in jailing his opponents?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoCrime e justiça2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 61.6%
Previsores
21
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 minutos
27/10/24, 19:48 UTC1/01/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolves YES if any political opponent of Trump is arrested on charges brought at Trump’s behest.
- This is in response to Trump’s recent statement that “there are enemies within”.
- Criminal charges against any public figure perceived by Trump or his supporters to have acted contrary to Trump qualify for this market.
- Criminal charges that result in arrest resolve YES, even if the defendant is booked and released pending trial.
- Charges that do not result in arrest (eg civil charges) do not resolve this market.
- The results of trials based on charges that predate Trump’s second term do not resolve this market.
