Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If CA Prop 40 passes will 41 or 42 also pass??

A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 69.2% em 2 de novembro de 2026.

Quando If CA Prop 40 passes will 41 or 42 also pass? é resolvido?

If CA Prop 40 passes will 41 or 42 also pass? deverá ser resolvido em 25 de dezembro de 2026.

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Sim 69.2%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 10 minutos

1/10/26, 19:06 UTC25/12/26, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the official results of the California General Election held on November 3, 2026, as certified by the California Secretary of State (results published at sos.ca.gov).
For the purposes of this market, a proposition is considered to have "passed" if it receives a majority of affirmative ("Yes") votes (greater than 50%), regardless of whether it is subsequently blocked, voided, or modified by a competing measure or court ruling.
Precondition: If California Proposition 40 does not receive a majority of "Yes" votes, this market will resolve as N/A. YES: If California Proposition 40 receives a majority of "Yes" votes, and at least one of California Proposition 41 or California Proposition 42 also receives a majority of "Yes" votes.
NO: If California Proposition 40 receives a majority of "Yes" votes, and neither Proposition 41 nor Proposition 42 receives a majority of "Yes" votes.