If a Republican wins the presidency in 2028, will Bitcoin be above $250,000 at the end of 2030?
BitcoinYearlyCoinbaseCorretorasPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleição4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 29 de out. de 2026, 13:06 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 74.5%
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2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado7/10/26, 02:53 UTC31/12/30, 23:59 UTC
Regras
Condition: the Republican Party's 2028 presidential nominee wins the 2028 presidential election, as determined by Congress's count of electoral votes in January 2029 (or, if no one has a majority, the House's choice).
- If anyone else wins, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if Coinbase's BTC-USD price at 00:00 UTC on January 1, 2031 (the daily close for December 31, 2030) is above $250,000.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if a Democrat wins the presidency in 2028.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks the 2028 presidential winner changes.
