Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 62%
Previsores
49
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado1/06/23, 07:28 UTC1/01/27, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
Os critérios de resolução ainda não estão disponíveis para este mercado. Esta seção será preenchida nas próximas atualizações quando as regras da fonte forem armazenadas.
Mercados abertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 30,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 18 mil
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Volume total
- € 8,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,7 mil
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 15,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 952,2
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- € 516,1
- Volume 24h
- € 516,1
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume total
- € 516,1
- Volume 24h
- € 516,1
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Volume total
- € 136,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 419
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de I will resolve this however I want to?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 62% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando I will resolve this however I want to é resolvido?
- I will resolve this however I want to deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.